
The small boats crisis continues to defy easy solutions, with record numbers still making the dangerous Channel crossing despite grand summits and tough talk. At the heart of the problem lies a simple truth – people keep coming because the system rewards those who arrive.
Current approaches focus overwhelmingly on disrupting smuggling networks, yet this treats only the symptom while ignoring the disease.
The gangs facilitating these journeys are entrepreneurial middlemen responding to market forces – where there’s demand, supply will follow. And demand remains strong because Britain’s asylum system, despite its flaws, still offers what many seek: a chance to stay.
The uncomfortable reality is that until the incentives change, the crossings won’t stop. When migrants know they’ll likely be housed, have access to healthcare, and face slim chances of removal, the treacherous journey becomes a rational gamble.
Previous governments grasped this, which led to schemes like the Rwanda partnership – imperfect but acknowledging the need for real deterrence.
Yet the current response doubles down on failed formulas – more border security, international cooperation, and gang disruption – all worthwhile but insufficient alone. What’s missing is the political courage to address the pull factors that make Britain such a tempting destination. Until that changes, the boats will keep coming, the hotels will keep filling, and the public’s frustration will keep growing.
The solution lies not in another summit or tougher rhetoric, but in rebuilding a system where illegal entry never becomes a backdoor to permanent stay. Without that fundamental shift, we’re just rearranging deck chairs on a sinking ship.