Scientists used a computer to predict exactly when society collapsed, and the results were shocking
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Scientists have been using computers to try and figure out when human society might collapse, and the results are pretty scary. Back in 1972, a team at MIT used data about things like population growth, natural resources, and energy use to predict the future.
They found that if we keep using up resources and growing the way we are, society could collapse by around 2040. That’s less than 20 years from now.
At the time, a lot of people didn’t take the study seriously and even made fun of it. But over the years, other researchers have looked at the same data and found that the predictions are still on track.
In 2009, a different team of scientists checked the numbers and said the original study was surprisingly accurate. They couldn’t find any other economic model that had been so precise over such a long time.
Then, in 2021, a Dutch researcher named Gaya Herrington did her own analysis and came to the same conclusion. She found that the worst-case scenario from the 1972 study—where economic growth slows down by the end of this decade and society collapses about 10 years later could still happen if we don’t change our ways. But she also offered some hope.
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Herrington said we still have a chance to avoid this fate if we take action now. By innovating in business, making better policies, and working together as a society, we could create a more sustainable world and prevent collapse.
So, while the predictions are definitely worrying, they also remind us that we have the power to change the future. The key is to act quickly and make smarter choices about how we use resources and care for the planet. If we do that, we might be able to avoid the worst-case scenario and build a better future for everyone.