Labour is in Big Trouble Under Keir Starmer! Here’s the Big Problem Dragging the Party Down

It’s becoming clear that voters just aren’t connecting with the current party leader, and this is something that can’t be ignored. Going into the next election with a leader who is unpopular, unliked, and out of touch with the public would be a huge mistake. At some point, the party will have to replace their leader if they want any chance of winning.

In Conservative circles, there’s already some talk about Kemi Badenoch potentially stepping up as a new leader. But nothing is certain yet. Instead, the real problem lies with the current Prime Minister, Keir Starmer, who seems to have reached a point of no return.

Despite leading a large group of over 400 Labour MPs, Starmer’s leadership has been a disaster for the party’s chances of re-election. He comes across as cold, distant, and overly serious, which has turned off large sections of the electorate. His policies have also been deeply unpopular, from poor economic decisions to controversial changes in education, expensive energy policies, and a weak approach to illegal immigration.

One of the most shocking decisions under Starmer’s leadership has been the surrender of the Chagos Islands, a move seen as deeply unpatriotic and symbolic of his government’s values. This decision, influenced by international lawyers, has been described as one of the most anti-British policies in recent memory.

The polls tell a grim story for Starmer. After winning 34% of the vote in the last election, Labour’s support has dropped to an average of 25% during Starmer’s first year in office. His ratings on key issues like the economy, health, immigration, and law and order have also plummeted. For example, public confidence in Labour’s handling of the economy has fallen from 29% to 18%, and on health policy, it’s dropped from 41% to 26%.

Starmer’s personal approval ratings are even worse. In August, his net approval rating was -7%, but now it’s -40%. Polls also show that 62% of people believe the country is heading in the wrong direction, compared to just 16% who think it’s on the right track. Only 27% of voters believe Starmer has a clear plan to improve the country, down from 50% last July.

Historically, prime ministers with ratings this low rarely recover without a major turnaround, like Margaret Thatcher’s success after the Falklands War. But Starmer has no such victories to point to. While some in his party might see the Chagos decision as a win for global justice, it’s deeply unpopular with the wider public.

Even though there’s no obvious replacement for Starmer within Labour, it’s becoming increasingly likely that he won’t lead the party into the next election. The current political landscape shows Labour and Reform UK tied at 25% in the polls, with the Conservatives at 22%. If the right-wing vote remains split, Labour could still win another majority, even with a low vote share of around 30%.

Labour doesn’t need a charismatic leader like Tony Blair to win—just someone who can appeal to their core voters, such as public sector workers, trade unionists, Muslim voters, and urban women who read *The Guardian*. If I were to bet on it, I’d say Deputy Prime Minister Angela Rayner is the most likely candidate to replace Starmer before the next election.