Nigel Farage’s Party Wrecks Keir Starmer’s Re-Election Hopes in Shocking New Poll!

Nigel Farage’s party, Reform UK, has taken a two-point lead over both the Conservatives and Labour in the latest opinion polls for the first time. 

A YouGov/Times survey shows Reform UK at 27% of the vote, a record high for the second week in a row, up from 26% last week. Meanwhile, Labour has 25%, the Conservatives 21%, the Liberal Democrats 14%, and the Greens 9%. 

Reacting to the results on X, Nigel Farage told his 2.2 million followers: “Britain is broken. Britain needs Reform.

Many online supporters were excited, while others pointed out that this is bad news for both Labour and the Conservatives, who are still recovering from poor results in Scotland. 

A large poll by Electoral Calculus earlier this month suggested that if an election were held now, Reform UK would win 23 out of 32 seats in Wales, overtaking Labour as the biggest party there. Labour would lose 23 of its 27 Welsh seats—a major collapse. 

The situation in Scotland is similar. If an election happened today, Labour could lose 31 of the 37 seats it won in July 2024, an 83.7% drop. The SNP would take all 31 lost seats, showing a comeback despite past controversies surrounding Nicola Sturgeon. 



While Reform UK is leading in some polls, it still faces challenges. In the last General Election, the party came second in 98 seats but only won five. Their votes are spread across many areas instead of being concentrated, which makes it harder to win under the UK’s election system. 

A former advisor to Farage explained that Reform has broad support but not enough deep support in specific areas to win many seats. The party needs to focus its efforts better. 

Polls also show that most people who voted Reform UK in 2024 would do so again, suggesting strong loyalty. However, the party mostly attracts voters concerned about immigration. If other parties take action on this issue, Reform’s appeal could weaken. 

For long-term success, Reform UK will need a wider range of policies, especially on key issues like the economy and healthcare.

Many voters unhappy with immigration still prefer the Conservatives, while those more concerned about economic issues lean towards Labour or the Liberal Democrats. 

A recent YouGov poll found that 38% of those considering voting for Reform UK are also open to voting Conservative, showing that many voters are still undecided.